Monday, July 28, 2014

2014 NFL Over/Under Predictions

You can look back at my past predictions for NFL seasons here, but this year I wanted to try something a little different. 

I'll be predicting season win/loss totals, simply by guessing "over" or "under" the posted 2014 totals, found here.  In addition, I'll be using a sort of confidence points system, noting how much of a hypothetical $100 I would bet amongst the teams.  I have to bet on every team - if I have next to no clue at all, I'll just wimp out by betting $1 - and I must choose 16 "over" and 16 "under." (No "push" predictions allowed.) 

I hope to come back at the end of the regular season to review how many I got right, and whether I made any pretend money. As you can see, I'm putting a lot of my eggs in the "Houston under 8 1/2 wins" basket - I just don't see how they can drastically pull themselves out of their 2013 tailspin.



TeamO/U LinePredictionHypothetical Bet
Arizona Cardinals7Under2
Atlanta Falcons8Over5
Baltimore Ravens8.5Under1
Buffalo Bills6.5Over6
Carolina Panthers8.5Over1
Chicago Bears8.5Under2
Cincinnati Bengals9Under2
Cleveland Browns6.5Under5
Dallas Cowboys8Under1
Denver Broncos11Under1
Detroit Lions8Under3
Green Bay Packers10Over3
Houston Texans8.5Under20
Indianapolis Colts9Over7
Jacksonville Jaguars4.5Over1
Kansas City Chiefs8Over2
Miami Dolphins7.5Over2
Minnesota Vikings6.5Under4
New England Patriots10.5Over6
New Orleans Saints9.5Over1
New York Giants7Under3
New York Jets6.5Over2
Oakland Raiders5Under1
Philadelphia Eagles9Over5
Pittsburgh Steelers9Under1
San Diego Chargers8Over1
San Francisco 49ers11Under4
Seattle Seahawks11Under1
St. Louis Rams6.5Over2
Tampa Bay Buccaneers7Over2
Tennessee Titans6.5Under1
Washington Redskins7Over2
100






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